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Q1 2023 Market Outlook

Feb 10, 2023

We are well into Q1 and feel confident saying that the market appears to be stabilizing. Before we start looking forward, let’s quickly look back at the end of 2022.

A Look Back

Consumer spending has finally started to slow and existing home sales ended 2022 at their slowest pace since 2010. It appears that the rest of the economy is starting to feel the effects of the Fed’s monetary tightening that the housing market has felt for the last year.


Where We Are Today


Now let’s look to today’s current market. As the expected end of the Fed’s tightening cycle draws near, interest rates are beginning to stabilize. Expectedly, the decrease in volatility seems to be improving the housing market. Over the last 30 days, the 30-year fixed rate has improved nearly 20 basis points and mortgage applications have increased nearly 25%. The combination of these two things are indicative of the start of a spring market. 


If you are thinking about buying, doing so now puts you in a unique position. While the market is heating up and we are seeing the the beginning of a shift back to a seller's market, right now you as a buyer, still have the upper hand; but we don't expect that to last long. Without a drastic increase in inventory, in our metropolitan markets, we are beginning to see fewer seller concessions in comparison with the end of 2022, more multiple-offers and even escalation clauses. We anticipate that we will see this trend move outside of the cities as we get into the spring.


While this is not an exact science and we cannot guarantee anything, these factors are typically signs that the market is turning in a favorable direction.

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By Mikaylah Collins 12 Apr, 2023
We've begun to see signs that the Spring Market is here and could be robust! Here is what we know: According to NAR, home sales were up 14% in February over the previous month which marked the biggest monthly increase since July 2020. While March results are not yet published, the mortgage industry saw an increase in purchase applications for the 3rd straight month; a great sign for the housing market. Driving much of this activity is the stabilization of rates in January & February and lower interest rates this past month. We’re starting to see signs of a slowing economy and the markets are now pricing this in. This week we saw the 10-yr Treasury drop under 3.4%, a level it has not reached for quite some time and the lowest it’s been since September 9, 2022. This is great news for consumers as decreasing rates mean more home affordability. Over the past year, most markets have seen home prices stabilize if not even decline, albeit by a very small amount. This stabilization was still a relief for homebuyers as it helped to offset higher interest rates. As rates continue to decrease, we would expect home prices to again increase due to demand increases. In addition to increased demand, there is still a shortage of homes for sale nationwide and that will continue to worsen as more and more homebuyers enter the market.  So what does it all mean? Now is a GREAT time to buy a home! Rates and home prices are stable, there is not as much competition as there will be when rates do decrease, and buying a home is still extremely affordable for most. Once rates fall, we will likely see home prices rise and the competition for the shortage of homes will increase alongside it making the window of a buyer-dominated market very small.
By Sarah Rubin 15 Dec, 2022
Buying a home is a huge investment and one we talk about often - BUT the flipside is that you have an opportunity to cash in on that investment when you’re ready to sell your home! While you do have the chance to cash-in, a lot more work goes into selling a home than you might think! If you are considering selling your home, working with a listing agent will help you market your home, negotiate with potential buyers, work through paperwork, and ultimately close on your home! So what is a listing agent? In its most basic terms, a listing agent is a real estate professional who represents the seller in a real estate transaction. The listing agent lists the home for sale and works on behalf of the seller to sell the home at the best price and terms for their client. Listing your home is a BIG deal and it is not a place to try and DIY. But why can’t you just grab a sign at Home Depot and try and sell yourself? Well, there are lots of reasons some of which include: Professional consultation: A listing agent will walk you through each step and tell you what to expect along the way! They should understand the specific community you’re in and the current market environment and will help you determine a competitive but realistic asking price for your home. Marketing and selling your home: Your listing agent will list your home on the multiple listing service (MLS) in order to better market your home to potential buyers. They also can make staging recommendations and hire a photographer to best show off your home and its features. They’ll schedule house showings, and can be present to answer any questions. Communication and negotiation: Communication is key to both buying and selling a home in order to minimize stress and misunderstandings. Listing agents take care of this important task, by staying in touch with interested buyers and their agents, fielding questions, handling paperwork, and negotiating the final sale price and terms. Recommendations: Seasoned listing agents might come with a list of professionals who they have worked with in the past that they enjoy working with in order to make the selling process smoother for you! Some of these professionals include: real estate attorneys or title companies, inspectors, stagers, those who specialize in home improvement AND of course trusted Loan Officers. How do I find the right listing agent for my situation? In order to find the right listing agent for you, make sure your agent is licensed and has experience, references, and a professional website where you can learn more about them and their qualifications. Most real estate agents work with both buyers and sellers, but some might specialize in one or the other. Once you find a few agents through referrals or online research, meet with them in person to ensure they meet your needs and work well with your personality. It is also important to ask questions during your meeting with them and it’s imperative that you determine what you’re looking for in an agent so you make sure you are happy with the product being delivered. Selling a home can be stressful, especially for first-time sellers. A listing agent can help by taking on some of the burden and providing the information and resources needed to help sellers make informed decisions. We work with agents on both sides of the transaction – if you have any questions or would like a recommendation for an agent in your area, please reach out to us!
By Sarah Rubin 29 Nov, 2022
So, you’re a first time homebuyer wondering what mortgage loan products are out there for you. We’re here to give you an overview of these products and make it easier to determine which one is right for you! There are various products available and specified for first-time homebuyers (FTHB), but why and do you have to use them? FTHB programs can provide for lower down payment options and less restrictive credit guidelines for those buyers that qualify, therefore making it easier to qualify and afford your first home. It is important to note that while these products are designed for first-time homebuyers some do have income limitations and therefore not all will be able to utilize these options. It’s also important to note that a first-time homebuyer is defined as somebody who has not owned property in three years. So if you owned a house six years ago and have been renting since you sold it, you are now considered a first-time homebuyer again and may be able to utilize these options. Both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the agencies that purchase conventional mortgages, have first-time homebuyer programs that allow for as little as a 3% down payment if the borrower is a first-time homebuyer and under the area median income limits established by the County. These programs typically have a lower rate and reduced mortgage insurance. Additionally, both also have a first-time homebuyer program that allows for a 3% down payment but the borrower or borrowers do not have to meet the area median income limitations. The difference however is that these programs do not offer the reduced interest rate or mortgage insurance. Additionally, there are state/local bond programs, which vary by state, that typically offer closing cost and down payment assistance. So, who are these programs best for? They are obviously best for first-time home buyers BUT does that mean all first-time homebuyers? Not necessarily, they are best for those with limited cash assets who realize the importance of homeownership as a tool for building generational wealth! If you are ready to start the home buying process or want to learn more about these programs or the slew of additional home buying programs and tools available, let’s chat!
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